This paper is the first part of a broader project to define and further develop the domain of what are now called structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis. The analysis of competing hypotheses in intelligence. Did i consider past customer feedback, explore opportunities, and assess both. Each step in a technique prompts relevant discussion within the team, and such discussion generates and evaluates substantially more divergent information and more new ideas than a team that does not use a structured process. Structured analytic techniques sats are the tools used to establish a structured analytic environment. Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis. Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis pdf. May 23, 2018 as private sector intelligence capabilities and tradecraft continue to evolve, structured analytic techniques are being incorporated into intelligence programs. Ebook free structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis. This report by the us government covers many structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis including how to effectively use brainstorming. Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis heuer, richards j. Assessing the value of structured analytic techniques in. Structured analytic techniques in action with sarah miller beebe, and several other guides for analysts on writing, briefing.
Team estimates and judgments reflect a consensus among team members, which blunts and dilutes the intensity of individual biases. Everyday low prices and free delivery on eligible orders. The evolution of structured analytic techniques by richards j. In cases in intelligence analysis, accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners sarah miller beebe and randolph h. A book at some time serves as tool to interact far better and smarter with other. During my intelligence training we were taught a whole bunch of different analytical techniques. Sats are designed to improve analysts and other stakeholders understanding of and response to new, enduring, or emerging issues, and even unanticipated adverse events. Structured analytic techniques are the ideal process for guiding the interaction of analysts within a small team or group.
Taxonomy of structured analytic techniques by richards j. Pherson showcase fiftyfive structured analytic techniquesfive new to this editionthat represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis. The intelligence warfighting function focuses first on the threat network and second on the neutral network. The structured analytic techniques toolbox the learner. Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis daniel elmore. This second edition of structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis showcases fiftyfive structured analytic techniquesfive new to this editionthat represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis. This second edition of structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis showcases fiftyfive structured analytic techniquesfive new to this editionthat represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland. Besides avoiding some of the biases of judgment and intuition, these structured methods. Heuer, 9781452241517, download free ebooks, download free pdf epub ebook.
Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis would prove most suitable as an inclass reference for a course on intelligence analysis or as an excellent resource for individuals who have completed such a class. Accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners beebe and pherson have created a set of twelve robust, classtested cases on events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decisionmaking support. There is moar to structured analytic techniques than just ach. Structured analytic techniques for immediate use 16 in one. Pherson showcase fifty5 structured analytic strategies5 new to this modelthat symbolize in all probability probably the most current biggest practices in intelligence, regulation enforcement, homeland security, and enterprise analysis. Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis is a good help to all of those who utilize analytic reasoning. Ebook free structured analytic techniques for intelligence. Jan 14, 2020 the third edition of structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis by randolph h. However, little evidence exists of how techniques are applied and. This second edition of structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis showcases fiftyfive structured analytic techniques five new to this editionthat represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis.
Did i identify contrary evidence, and information gaps. Pdf restructuring structured analytic techniques in. May 01, 2012 the cia published its understanding of brainstorming as an analytic technique in the white paper, a tradecraft primer. It distinguishes these techniques from three other broad categories of.
Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis book. Structured analytic techniques are simply a box of tools to help the analyst mitigate the adverse impact on analysis of ones cognitive limitations and pitfalls. Marine corps intelligence, working with the rand corporation, has developed a set of 28 structured models, approaches, and techniques that apply structured analysis to tactical battlefield situations. Structured analysis uses structured techniques to mitigate the adverse impact on our analysis of known cognitive limitations and pitfalls. Group work is the best if not the only known remedy against cognitive biases.
Granted, an analyst could learn these techniques by reading the book, but they are best incorporated through handson training. Four simple analytical techniques you can start using today. It is not a comprehensive overview of how intelligence officers conduct analysis. With much more depth, detail, and utility than existing handbooks, each technique is clearly and. Are analytic judgments and assumptions distinguished from the underlying intelligence. Pherson turn a lifetime of expertise toward formalizing, adapting, and standardizing a set of 50 of the most robust analytic techniques in use in intelligence analysis today.
Oct 18, 2015 this report by the us government covers many structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis including how to effectively use brainstorming. He coauthored critical thinking for strategic intelligence with katherine hibbs pherson, cases in intelligence analysis. Heuer jr showcases sixtysix structured analytic techniquesnine new to this editionthat represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis. In this second edition of structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis, authors richards j.
Download for offline reading, highlight, bookmark or take notes while you read structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis. I hope you can learn how to use and apply these simple yet effective techniques to increase your own analytical ability, and ultimately, to become a. The most distinctive characteristic is that structured techniques help to decompose. The case studies are designed to give analystsintraining a handson opportunity to apply structured analytic techniques to. It allows analysts to come together to discuss a common topic or question, or individual analysts to generate new ideas without concern for other analysts opinions or judgments. May 23, 2014 this second edition of structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis showcases fiftyfive structured analytic techniquesfive new to this editionthat represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis. They have been included in introductory classes in intelligence analysis offered in the ic, 1 in recently created intelligence studies programs, 2 and in ic intelligence analysis tradecraft primers defense intelligence agency, 2008. May 31, 2012 structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis would prove most suitable as an inclass reference for a course on intelligence analysis or as an excellent resource for individuals who have completed such a class. Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis by. Here are my four goto techniques i continue to use and apply to problems on a daily basis. Pdf the analysis of competing hypotheses in intelligence. A book will additionally serve as a standard and support of you to do something. Assessing the value of structured analytic techniques in the.
Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis is not a textbook on intelligence, the analytical process, or obstacles to effective, unbiased thinking. Dick heuers contribution to intelligence analysis by jack davis i applaud cias center for the study of intelligence for making the work of richards j. Cases in intelligence analysis sage publications inc. Pherson showcase fifty5 structured analytic strategies5 new to this modelthat characterize in all probability probably the most current biggest practices in intelligence, regulation enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis. This report argues for more systematic assessment of the structured analytic techniques employed by the intelligence community and provides a pilot study illustrating how they could be evaluated. The complexity of the world precludes onesizefitsall analytic approaches. Taken alone, they do not constitute an analytic method for solving geospatial analytic problems. The document provides a rundown of diagnostic, contrarian, and imaginative thinking techniques used and recommended by the cia for its analysts. In this second edition, the authors added five new case studies. Structured analytic techniques for improving intelligence analysis. Pdf structured analytic techniques for intelligence.
Furthermore, although heuer and pherson do walk the reader through the eight phases of analytical thought, it is not a checklist that one must follow rigidly from start to finish. With more depth, detail, and utility than existing. As private sector intelligence capabilities and tradecraft continue to evolve, structured analytic techniques are being incorporated into intelligence programs. The third edition of structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis by randolph h. Structured analytic techniques for immediate use 16 in. Buy structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis second by heuer, richards j. Structured analytic techniques in action with sarah miller beebe, and several other guides for analysts on writing, briefing, indicators, and managing the production process. Explain several tools useful to, inclusively, those who are attending posgraduate courses, such as masters and phd. This primer highlights structured analytic techniquessome widely used in the private sector and academia, some unique to the intelligence profession. Would the analysis benefit from structured analytic techniques. The cia published its understanding of brainstorming as an analytic technique in the white paper, a tradecraft primer. There is moar to structured analytic techniques than just.
May 19, 2016 structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis daniel elmore. On this second model of structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis, authors richards j. Nov 11, 2017 central intelligence agency, a t radecraft primer. This ready reference showcases current and cuttingedge best practices and represents a significant leap forward in depth, detail, and utility from existing. Rather, the primer highlights how structured analytic techniques can help one challenge judgments. Pherson offer robust, classtested cases studies of events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decisionmaking support. A publication will certainly involve numerous experience and also understanding to share to the others. Structured analytic techniques are specifically intended to foster collaboration and teamwork. Intelligence analysis is the process by which the information collected about an enemy is used to answer tactical questions about current operations or to predict future behavior.
Using structured analytic techniques to assess the. Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis by richards j. Ebook structured analytic techniques for intelligence. Assessing the value of structured analytic techniques in the u. The structured analytic techniques toolbox the learners. Presentation to the national academy of science, national research council committee on behavioral and social science research to improve intelligence analysis for national security, washington, dc, december 8, 2009. The intelligence community uses structured analytic techniques to help analysts think critically and avoid cognitive bias.
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